
Mexico's peso and main stock index weakened on March 4 as the peso fell about 0.6% against the dollar. President Sheinbaum said Mexico would respond to new US tariffs, with the automotive industry facing the most problems.
Retaliation threats raise the risk of further trade disruption to US farm exports into Mexico, a major buyer of corn and other feed ingredients.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.