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Class III milk has fallen by $2 to $3 from about $19.50-$20 to near $17 in recent months, which an analyst attributes to tariff uncertainty. Tariffs on Mexico and Canada are paused until April 2, and dairy producers are booking canola and soybean meal to lock in feed costs.
Trade uncertainty is pressuring milk prices, and producers locking in canola and soybean meal supports near-term meal demand.
rrfn.comJamie DickermanMar 28, 2025After 49 past bearish trade events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -4.7% to +1.5%), and -0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Tariff uncertainty was already pressuring Class III futures lower, and an analyst linked the $2-3 decline to trade fears ahead of the April 2 tariff deadline, a plausible sentiment driver for the sharp drop.
