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Cornbelt Marketing analyst Sam Hudson says US soybean demand remains strong despite higher prices, with crush and export programs not yet rationing. Strikes at Argentine crush plants are supporting the market, and US November crush hit a record.
Robust crush and export demand, plus reduced Argentine meal output, support soybean and soymeal prices and make rationing unlikely before 2021 Q2 or Q3.
rrfn.comCarah HartDec 17, 2020After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Strong US crush and export demand plus Argentine crush plant strikes supported the soy complex and meal prices during the window.
