Fastmarkets reports that freight rates rose in the week to July 12, with Brazil-Northeast Asia rates up to $35.10 per tonne and US Gulf-Northeast Asia up to $46.20. Demand was lifted by stronger Chinese soybean buying, improved Chinese crush margins and a USDA planted-area cut for US soybeans.
Higher Chinese import demand for South American beans supports soybean freight and prices, and a smaller expected US crop tightens export availability. The rebound signals firmer ocean freight for oilseed cargoes.
After 696 past bullish trade events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, SBM moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.