Chinese state-owned companies continue buying U.S. soybeans despite weak crush margins, while private buyers have pulled back. Strong pig herd growth is boosting Chinese demand for soy-based feed, and Brazilian supplies are tight.
State buying and tight Brazilian supplies support U.S. soybean futures and loading basis. Feed demand from China's hog sector keeps the outlook for soybean meal demand firm.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.