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S&W Trading analyst Andy Shissler expects US soybean exports to exceed current reporting, citing likely switching from unknown destinations. Several recent flash sales went to unknown buyers or China, though none are final until paid.
He notes soybean futures typically rally when China's purchase programs run into year-end.
Expected Chinese purchase programs in the fall would absorb US soybean supply and support prices into year-end. The outlook is still conditional on sales being completed and paid for.
rrfn.comCarah HartAug 13, 2020After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 342 past bullish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.1% to +2.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
