
Banrep cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to 9.25% on April 30, resuming its easing cycle with a unanimous vote. The bank downgraded its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 2.6% from 2.8%, citing trade tensions and lower oil export prices.
Lower rates may support domestic activity, but weaker oil export prices and a higher risk premium point to pressure on the peso, which affects Colombian feed import costs.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.