
US and European stock futures fell after the Federal Reserve signaled interest rates would stay higher for longer, and safe-haven demand lifted the dollar and Swiss franc. The euro pared gains ahead of ECB and Bank of England decisions, and the yuan weakened on poor Chinese economic data and rising Covid cases.
Oil prices eased slightly as Keystone Pipeline flows resumed after a restart.
A stronger dollar tends to pressure dollar-denominated grain, oilseed and meal prices and raises import costs for buyers in weaker-currency markets. Softer crude and weaker Chinese demand signals could also lower energy and feed input costs.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.