The Colombian peso fell 1.2% to its lowest in four weeks as weaker crude prices weighed on the oil exporter's currency. Oil dropped after U.S. Democrats criticized a $1 trillion coronavirus aid package proposed by Senate Republicans.
Markets also expected a 25-basis-point rate cut from the Colombian central bank later in the week.
Weaker crude and a softer peso can shift the cost of imported feed inputs and biofuel economics, while stalled US stimulus adds to fears of lower fuel demand.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.