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The Colombian peso fell to a one-year low of just under 3,100 pesos per US dollar this week, versus about 1,750 four years ago. The author argues Colombia's commodity-export economy, led by petroleum, coal and coffee, is vulnerable to falling oil prices and reduced investment in exploration.
A weaker Colombian peso and oil-driven export stress can shape regional demand for imported feed and affect currency-linked import costs for Latin American buyers.
colombiafocus.comMichael PuscarJul 9, 2017Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
