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China's Ministry of Agriculture released an action plan to reduce grain and soybean meal use in livestock feed, targeting 60% grain and 10% soymeal in feed by 2030. The plan is framed as a food security measure amid uncertain global trade.
A structural decline in soymeal inclusion in China's feed reduces long-term import demand for soybeans and meal, which is bearish for Brazilian and US soy complex prices. The effect is gradual, so the near-term price impact is moderate.
scmp.comMandy ZuoMay 6, 2025After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 318 past bullish policy events, CORN moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
