
Washington and Beijing agreed on tariff reductions covering 77 categories of American agricultural products, including beef, dairy and grain. The framework is valued at about $30 billion and follows a high-level presidential summit.
Lower Chinese tariffs on US farm goods improve export access and support demand for US grains, dairy and beef. This is a major policy shift that could lift US ag prices.
After 17 past bullish policy events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (29% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.2%), and -3.0% over 20.
After 17 past bullish policy events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.9%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 182 past bullish policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.