China’s soybean imports have peaked and will keep falling as Beijing stresses food security, report says

After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.

• May 6, 2025China cuts need for feed seed as food security campaign ramps up | South China Morning Post+2.7%
• Apr 10, 2023China makes an effort to reduce soybean imports+0.5%
• Jan 19, 2024GM Soybeans And China’s Food Security Dilemma - Jamestown+0.8%
• Jul 26, 2023What does China’s food security push mean for soybean prices? EJINSIGHT - ejinsight.com-4.5%
• Jun 18, 2025China's big feed shift to curb soybean imports, strain small farmers-4.5%

After 223 past bearish policy events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.

• May 6, 2025China cuts need for feed seed as food security campaign ramps up | South China Morning Post+0.7%
• Apr 10, 2023China makes an effort to reduce soybean imports+0.7%
• Jul 26, 2023What does China’s food security push mean for soybean prices? EJINSIGHT - ejinsight.com+0.4%
• Jun 18, 2025China's big feed shift to curb soybean imports, strain small farmers-2.9%
• Dec 31, 2025Can China Reduce Soybean Import Demand? Evaluating Soybean Meal Reduction Efforts+1.7%