How does India benefit from early, ample monsoon rains?

After 27 past bearish weather events, RICE moved a median -1.6% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.1%), and -1.3% over 20.

• Apr 15, 2025India forecasts above average monsoon rains in boost to crop output, economy-3.0%
• Jun 1, 2022India expected to see normal monsoon rains, could boost crop output-3.4%
• Aug 18, 2020India's basmati rice production to be higher than last year's level due to monsoon boost - The Economic Times+2.4%
• Apr 25, 2019‘Near-normal monsoon may boost foodgrain production’ - The Hindu+0.9%
• Aug 22, 2017Possibilities of Increase in Exports this year due to Good Monsoon - Mundus Agri+1.2%

After 324 past neutral weather events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Jan 26, 2018Daily rains slow Brazil’s early bean harvest-0.7%
• Dec 26, 2022Brazil Soybeans Benefit from Rain North, Hurt by Dryness Far South+0.6%
• Jan 1, 2019Mixed Blessing From Heavy Rain+2.7%
• Dec 5, 2025Heavy rains improve central Brazil soil moisture but drought fears grow in southern South America-2.3%
• Feb 22, 2022Harvest activities and second crop planting benefit from drier weather 22.02.2022 - UkrAgroConsult+2.7%