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India's agricultural exports fell 25% to $24.69 billion in 2016-17 after two drought years. A normal monsoon this year is expected to lift Kharif output and exports, but analysts say a large export rebound depends on global prices.
Expected recovery in Indian output could add export supply later in the year, but global price levels will determine how much actually ships.
After 27 past bearish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median -1.6% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.1%), and -1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.