
India's ethanol expansion has pushed DDGS output up about 13-fold in two years to an estimated 5.5 million tonnes in 2025. The glut is weakening oilmeal demand and depressing oilseed prices.
Farmers are shifting acreage from soybeans and groundnuts to corn and rice.
Cheap DDGS replacing oilmeal in feed lowers soybean meal demand and oilseed prices in India, while adding pressure to edible oil self-sufficiency goals.
After 223 past bearish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.