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China will send specialty fertilizers to India within 20 to 25 days after assurances from Foreign Minister Wang Yi, with urea and DAP shipments likely within a fortnight. The shipments are timed for India's rabi sowing season after months of supply disruption.
Resumed Chinese urea and DAP shipments to India ease the supply squeeze ahead of rabi planting and reduce pressure on import prices. However, the reprieve is described as temporary given planned Chinese export controls from October.
livemint.comVijay C RoyAug 26, 2025After 81 past bearish trade events, Urea moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (28% higher; middle half -7.2% to +0.4%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 40 past bearish trade events, DAP moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -3.7% to +0.5%), and -2.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
China reviving urea shipments to India signals more Chinese supply and less Indian reliance on other origins, which is bearish for global prices.
