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India has contracted about 350,000 tonnes of DAP from Russia's PhosAgro for April-July arrival at $920-925/t CFR, below prices paid by other countries. The deals come amid Western sanctions on Russia after its invasion of Ukraine.
Discounted Russian DAP sets a lower price benchmark that could pressure Moroccan, Chinese and Saudi suppliers to cut prices, easing phosphate costs for feed mineral buyers.
After 40 past bearish trade events, DAP moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -3.7% to +0.5%), and -2.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.