Loading…
India's latest urea tender offered almost 5.6 million tonnes, well above expectations, and StoneX analysts called it a major surprise. Chinese urea exports have risen sharply in 2025, potentially exceeding 4 million tonnes.
Buyers are stepping back and delaying purchases as prices come under pressure.
A surge in offered supply from India and China gives buyers leverage and is expected to push urea prices lower. Weaker purchasing from importers adds further downward pressure in the near term.
stonex.comGustian FarrowSep 4, 2025After 81 past bearish trade events, Urea moved a median -1.0% over 5 sessions (28% higher; middle half -7.2% to +0.4%), and -5.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
