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Indonesia's palm oil exports to the EU could rise to about 4 million tonnes in 2026, up from an estimated 3.3 million tonnes this year, according to an industry official. The increase is linked to a trade pact and the regulatory delay of the deforestation law.
Higher expected Indonesian palm oil shipments to the EU add to global palm supply availability, a mildly bearish factor for palm oil prices.
After 158 past bearish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.8%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.