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Hard red winter wheat rallied more than 12 cents midweek, which analyst Todd Hubbs attributed to President Trump's comments weakening the dollar. Hubbs said confirmed crop damage in the Northern Hemisphere remains scarce and flagged $5.75 July resistance as a possible selling level.
The rally is largely speculative and dollar-driven, so without confirmed crop damage, prices may face selling pressure near resistance.
oklahomafarmreport.comAimee CarlisleJan 28, 2026After 10 past bullish macro events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.8% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.9% to +3.1%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
