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The dollar index fell 0.21% after the April PCE deflator matched expectations at 2.7% year-on-year, with core PCE at 2.8%. Softer-than-expected personal spending pushed 10-year Treasury yields down 5 basis points, reviving hopes for Fed rate cuts later in 2024.
A weaker dollar on expected Fed easing tends to support dollar-priced grain and oilseed exports by making them cheaper for foreign buyers.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.