The dollar retreated after January US retail sales fell 0.8%, signaling a sharp drop in consumer spending. The 10-year Treasury yield fell 7 basis points to 4.24%, and the Australian dollar rebounded to 0.6521 as the greenback weakened.
A weaker dollar and lower US yields support dollar-priced commodities such as grains and oilseeds, and make US exports more affordable for foreign buyers.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.