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An analysis published June 29, 2022 says wheat prices near $11 per bushel in Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle reflect a long uptrend that started around 2018/19, not just the Russian invasion of Ukraine. It projects the US average wheat price at $10.75 for 2022/23, and notes that wheat use is projected to equal or exceed production in recent and coming marketing years.
Tight projected US wheat balance sheets with use at or above production keep cash wheat prices elevated for feed formulators.
theseam.comJun 29, 2022After 10 past bullish macro events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.8% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.9% to +3.1%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 57 past bullish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.7%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
