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Brazil's biodiesel blend has risen to 15% and is set to reach 16% by March 2026. More soybean oil is going into the domestic fuel pool, and domestic soyoil trades at a premium to export prices.
Rising domestic biodiesel demand tightens Brazil's soyoil supply and cuts exports, supporting global soyoil prices. Foreign buyers will have to pay more or find other suppliers.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.