
Closure of the southern border to Mexican cattle is hitting Texas feedyards, with Lubbock Feeders announcing it will close due to lack of cattle. No US screwworm cases have been confirmed, but import suspensions have been in place since November 2024.
Reduced feedlot placements and closures signal tighter feeder supply, supporting feeder and live cattle prices.
After 122 past bullish disease events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 148 past bullish disease events, LCATTLE moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.