Ohio BEEF Cattle Letter outlines the USDA-APHIS suspension of ruminant imports from Mexico after the Chiapas detection. It notes that roughly 5% of US feedlot placements this year were Mexican feeder cattle and lists open questions on case spread and ban duration.
With about 5% of feedlot placements affected, a prolonged ban would tighten feeder supply and support cattle prices, while the outcome depends on how the situation evolves.
After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.