Gold stays firm near $5,000 amid safe-haven flows, hawkish Fed Minutes

After 89 past bullish geopolitics events, DXY moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (74% higher; middle half -0.0% to +1.0%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Mar 7, 2022Dollar edges higher as surging energy prices prompt safe-haven flows | Financial Newsletter+0.3%
• Mar 2, 2026Dollar reclaims safe-haven mantle as Iran strikes rattle nerves | Reuters+1.4%
• Apr 9, 2026Dollar jumps as failed U.S.-Iran peace talks spark safe-haven push-0.6%
• Apr 28, 2022New 5-year Lows for EUR/USD Rate, More Losses on Energy Risks Possible says MUFG+0.1%
• Jul 17, 2019Gold, dollar favored amid growing uncertainties - The Korea Times+0.3%

After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Mar 7, 2022Dollar edges higher as surging energy prices prompt safe-haven flows | Financial Newsletter-4.6%
• Oct 13, 2023Oil, Treasuries, gold prices jump amid Mideast fears | Reuters+6.4%
• Apr 9, 2026Dollar jumps as failed U.S.-Iran peace talks spark safe-haven push-2.9%
• Jan 3, 2020Soleimani strike lifts safe-haven yen; grim U.S. data hits dollar | Reuters-1.0%
• Oct 28, 2026WTI Price Forecast: Mideast Jitters Cushion Downside as Prices Stay Subdued Below $100.00-4.7%