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Oil, U.S. Treasuries and gold prices all rose amid Middle East fears. Brent gained 7.5% in the week since the conflict began, its highest weekly gain since February.
Investors are pricing a chance of escalation in the region that supplies a large share of world crude. Higher crude raises energy costs that flow through to feed production and transport.
reuters.comCaroline ValetkevitchOct 13, 2023After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Oil, Treasuries and gold all rallied on Mideast fears on Oct 13, which points to a risk-driven safe-haven and supply-premium bid in crude.
