
The premium of HRW wheat over SRW climbed to its highest level in more than seven months as drought and heat worsened crop conditions in the central US. The Hightower Report noted dry, windy conditions expected to stress already weakened fields.
A wider HRW premium reflects weather-driven supply concern in the Plains, supporting HRW wheat prices for feed and milling buyers.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 224 past neutral weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.