Harga Pangan dan Pupuk Dunia Kian ”Pedas”

After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.

• Nov 22, 2023Wheat prices jump as Russia targets Ukrainian grain supplies-0.4%
• Jul 17, 2023Black Sea grain deal: What's next now that Russia has pulled out?+2.4%
• Oct 29, 2026Urea seen to hit 4-year high in 2026, on Gulf disruptions | Ada Pelonia-0.4%
• Aug 29, 2026Prairie Wheat and Barley Prices Rise During Harvest as Global Supply Concerns Support Markets+2.2%
• Oct 22, 2024UK warns Russian strikes on Black Sea delay grain supplies to Palestinians, global south | Reuters+0.1%

After 12 past bullish geopolitics events, Rough Rice moved a median +1.6% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.5% to +6.8%), and +5.4% over 20.

• Mar 17, 2022Rice Prices Rise in Asia Amid Stockpiling, Conflict - Laotian Times+0.8%
• Apr 23, 2018Egypt's rice farmers see rough times downstream of new Nile mega-dam-1.4%
• May 1, 2026Thai and Vietnamese farmers may stop planting rice because of the Iran war. Here’s why+8.1%
• May 1, 2026It's not just oil: Why Iran war also threatens Asia's food security+8.1%
• Apr 30, 2026From surplus to strain: Iran war and El Nino threaten global rice supply - The Japan Times+12.1%

After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.

• Mar 26, 2022Fertiliser companies dig in for hard times amid Russia-Ukraine war+8.1%
• Dec 30, 2024Russian gas flows via Ukraine for last days as transit deal crumbles+2.2%
• Mar 11, 2022Doors Open for OCP as Ukraine Crisis Pauses Russian Fertilizer Exports-0.6%
• Apr 17, 2026Argentina wheat threatened by high urea fertilizer prices due to Iran war | Reuters-2.7%
• Feb 24, 2022Vilsack to fertilizer companies: Don’t take advantage of Russian invasion | 2022-02-24 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+20.1%