
The rupee fell about 0.5% to 95.68 per dollar as Brent climbed back toward $100 a barrel. Traders increased bets on a Reserve Bank of India rate hike in June, and the RBI used three-year dollar/rupee buy-sell swaps to lower forward premiums.
Higher oil and a possible rate hike raise India's inflation and borrowing costs, which weighs on the currency. The RBI's swap operations are aimed at easing dollar hedging costs for importers and borrowers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.