
The rupee ended the week at 95.89 per dollar, down 0.3% week-on-week, as a hawkish Fed rate hike, Brent near four-month highs above $100, and sustained foreign portfolio outflows weighed on it. The RBI intervened repeatedly through state-run banks to defend 96 per dollar.
The weekly range spanned 95.71 to 96.10.
Rate-driven capital outflows and costly crude both pressure the rupee and push USD/INR toward the central bank's line. Continued RBI dollar sales drain reserves and tighten rupee liquidity.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.