Brent crude edged lower after the FOMC held rates at 3.75-4% on October 28. The US-Iran conflict continues to keep shipping through the Strait of Hormuz severely constrained, and analysts expect a likely December hike.
Hormuz disruption keeps crude and diesel supported, raising freight and feed processing costs. A Fed hike outlook supports the dollar, which can cap dollar-denominated commodity prices.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.