
The rupee slipped to 95.97 per dollar in early trade on Wednesday, pressured by dollar demand from state-run oil marketing companies and higher crude. State-run banks sold dollars on the RBI's behalf, holding USD/INR just below 96.
Foreign portfolio outflows reached about $2.2 billion this month, and reserves fell $14.9 billion in the latest week to $766 billion. Brent was up 0.82% at $103.43.
Oil-related dollar demand and capital outflows keep upward pressure on USD/INR, while RBI sales limit the move. Reserve drawdowns signal the cost of defending the currency against energy shocks.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.