
The Indian rupee fell nearly 1% to 71.60 against the dollar on September 16, 2019, after crude prices jumped following drone attacks on Saudi Aramco's largest oil processing site. The Reserve Bank of India intervened in the foreign exchange market, which limited the currency's losses.
Bond yields also rose on inflation concerns.
India imports over 80% of its oil, so higher crude raises its import bill and inflation risk, which can weaken the rupee and limit further rate cuts. For feed buyers, the story signals that a stronger crude price feeds through to emerging-market currencies and the cost of imported inputs.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.