
A CME Group analysis says the US dollar is the most important catalyst for commodities, alongside geopolitical tensions, central bank gold demand and industrial silver demand. It notes that the last 14 months brought a historic performance for global commodities.
A dollar-led driver across commodities means currency moves can shift prices for grains, metals and energy together, which affects the cost of feed ingredients for buyers.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.