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Craig Hemke argues that a sharp rally in the US dollar drove a fall in gold and other commodities in late April, after a brief commodity rally the prior week. He contends that the dollar and US interest rates now dominate gold prices more than fundamentals.
A strong dollar reduces the dollar-denominated value of commodities for overseas buyers, a bearish force for feed grains and oilseeds priced in US dollars.
gold-eagle.comCraig Hemke Editor, Publisher @ TF Metals ReportApr 26, 2018After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
