
Commodity markets fell in the week to August 19 as demand for the dollar rose after Fed minutes signalled continued rate hikes. Gold, base metals and Brent oil declined, while US housing starts fell 9.6% in July.
Firmer dollar demand and recession worries weigh on commodity prices broadly, with the pressure mostly showing up in metals and energy.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.