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Gold pared early gains of as much as 2.2% after the Fed held rates at 3.5% to 3.75% in a 9-3 vote, with three officials dissenting in favor of a hike. Treasury yields and the dollar fell after the decision.
Brent crude rose above $90 on renewed US-Iran hostilities, and swap traders put the September hike odds below 60%.
Higher oil and inflation pressure push up expectations of tighter policy, which tends to support the dollar and weigh on commodities. Gold's gains are fragile if oil keeps rising.
moneycontrol.comBloombergJul 29, 2026After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
