
The US Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday, and 17 of 19 officials projected the policy rate will be lower by the end of next year. Gold rose over 1% on the signal that rate hikes have ended.
Expectations of lower rates weaken the dollar and reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, supporting precious metals prices. The shift is a macro driver with limited direct effect on feed commodities.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.