
Gold rose 2% on December 1 to move above $1,800 an ounce as the dollar weakened. Traders priced a 91% chance that the Fed would raise rates by 50 basis points on December 14.
Signs of cooling U.S. inflation supported the move.
A weaker dollar and expectations of slower Fed hikes ease pressure on dollar-priced commodities, which can support feed ingredient prices. The gain was driven by currency and rate expectations.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.