Canada Raises Canola Ending Stocks Forecast for 2026/27, Pressuring Seed, Oil, and Meal Markets

After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.

• Dec 11, 2024Forecast for U.S. Oilseed Production in 2024–2025 – Market-Tracker-1.8%
• Feb 1, 2017Federal forecast sees more oilseed acres, less in grains - AgCanada+1.8%
• Aug 22, 2022USDA Lowers Average Soybean Price Forecast; Raises Ending Stock Estimate+7.8%
• Jul 12, 2021U.S. corn ending stocks top forecasts in WASDE report+3.6%
• Apr 10, 2026USDA slightly raised its forecast for global oilseed production, so prices remain under pressure from increased supply-0.1%

After 146 past bearish report events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Dec 11, 2023USDA experts raised forecasts for global production of edible oils and meals-0.8%
• Oct 21, 2026Soybean Oil Prices Decline Amid Rising US Production and Crushing Slowdown; Indian Demand Bolsters Sunflower Oil Market | Tridge Insights+0.5%
• May 8, 2026Record Oilseed Output Reshapes Market Balance and Pressures Margins-2.6%
• Jul 15, 2022Despite a slight decrease in the oil production forecast, stock market quotations fell sharply 15.07.2022 - UkrAgroConsult-1.2%
• Feb 13, 2023USDA raised the forecast for Ukrainian sunflower oil+1.7%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.