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The US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz expired without a reopening, while the US blockade remains in place. Carriers including Maersk, Hapag-Lloyd, CMA CGM and COSCO are moving to resume Red Sea transits, and port congestion in Far East and European hubs is adding to container rate pressure.
Hormuz closure keeps fuel costs high and diversions expensive, supporting energy prices and shipping rates that feed into delivered feed input costs.
infomarine.netSep 10, 2026After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, BRENT moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, WTI moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
