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Indonesian plantation players say they can supply the extra crude palm oil needed for 2026 under the B50 biodiesel mandate, which took effect July 1 and raised the palm-based blend from 40% to 50%. Producers expect national CPO output of about 53 million tonnes this year, but warn that sustaining B50 will need 55-60 million tonnes annually, with El Niño a risk to future harvests.
Biodiesel absorption of roughly 1.74 million extra tonnes reduces exportable palm oil, which supports global vegetable oil prices, while future supply risk from El Niño adds upside pressure.
thestar.com.myKeith Heiw Sai KeatJul 14, 2026After 548 past bullish policy events, PALMOIL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
