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A Purdue Center for Commercial Agriculture article presents agri benchmark analysis of U.S. renewable diesel demand. Blending targets are projected to raise soybean oil demand to 8 million tons by 2029, requiring about 5.1 million additional hectares of soybeans.
Shifting rotations toward soy would require soybean prices to rise 6-8%.
Growing renewable diesel demand for soybean oil pulls acreage from corn toward soybeans, supporting soybean prices and oil values relative to corn. The projected rotation shift implies a sustained soybean price premium.
ag.purdue.eduSarah E ZahnJul 11, 2024After 841 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 356 past bullish policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.2% to +2.3%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
