CBOT and Euronext corn futures declined on Monday after Argentina cut its export tax on corn, with profit-taking adding pressure. Euronext corn also fell on a stronger euro and weak wheat, while South American weather remained a watched factor.
A lower Argentine export tax boosts Argentine corn competitiveness in export markets, increasing global supply and pressuring prices.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 122 past bearish policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 12 past policy events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (75% higher; middle half -0.1% to +1.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Argentina's export tax cut raises competing export supply and with profit-taking weighed on corn, but timing falls just before the 5-day window.