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Stillwater Associates reports that imports now supply roughly 30% of US lipid biofuel feedstocks, up sharply since 2022 as the BBD RVO ramped up. It notes both the US and Europe are seeking to restrict imports that their biodiesel sectors rely on, with California LCFS driving demand for UCO, animal fats and distillers corn oil.
Planned import restrictions could tighten feedstock supply and lift tallow, UCO and vegetable oil prices, raising costs for oil-based feed ingredients.
stillwaterassociates.comLisa FitzPatrickOct 13, 2025After 224 past bullish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 133 past bullish trade events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -0.8% to +2.3%), and +1.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
