Loading…
US soybean farmers face weaker trade flows, higher costs and low crop prices, while renewable diesel consumption fell 30% in the first half of 2025. The 45Z clean fuel credit survived and was revised, but its implementation timing remains uncertain, with the White House budget office indicating it may not be implemented until May.
Sluggish renewable diesel demand reduces pull for soybean oil and crush, while delayed 45Z clarity keeps biofuel feedstock demand uncertain.
agri-pulse.comKim Chipman, Lydia JohnsonOct 1, 2025After 351 past bearish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
