
The American Soybean Association criticized the EPA proposal, saying biomass-based diesel volumes will not grow and the 2021 requirement stays at 2.43 billion gallons. The group said the proposal ignores gallons lost to small refinery exemptions.
Flat biodiesel mandates weaken expected demand for soybean oil, which is bearish for soy crush margins and soybean oil prices.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, SOY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.